SI
SYNOPSYS INC (SNPS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue grew 14% year-over-year to $1.740B, but non-GAAP EPS of $3.39 missed Wall Street consensus; management cited IP underperformance amid China export restrictions and a foundry customer issue as key drivers .
- Guidance reset: full-year revenue was raised to $7.03–$7.06B, while non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow were cut to $12.76–$12.80 and ~$950M, respectively, reflecting IP headwinds, Ansys integration costs/seasonality, and higher interest burden from acquisition financing .
- Ansys acquisition closed July 17, expanding Synopsys into simulation/analysis; backlog reached $10.1B and hardware demand remained strong, but the company is taking a more conservative Q4 view and plans ~10% headcount reduction by FY26 to drive efficiency and accelerate synergies .
- Stock-relevant narrative shifts: revenue raise alongside EPS/FCF cuts and explicit IP roadmap pivot are likely to drive estimate resets; longer-term bullish narrative anchored on AI, multi-die/3DIC, and silicon-to-systems with Ansys integration .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Design Automation strength: segment revenue up 23% YoY to $1.312B, adjusted operating margin 44.5%, driven by hardware wins (ZeBu/HAPS) and resilient EDA demand; Ansys S&A performed in line with expectations .
- Strategic milestone: “Q3 was a transformational quarter… we closed the Ansys acquisition – expanding our portfolio, customer base and opportunity” (CEO) .
- Multi-die/3DIC and AI momentum: customers piloting Synopsys.ai GenAI capabilities (~20 customers), multi-die tapeouts, and anticipated integrated thermal sign-off with Ansys next year .
What Went Wrong
- IP underperformance: Design IP revenue fell 8% YoY to $427.6M; margin compressed to 20.1% as investments met lower-than-expected revenue .
- Specific headwinds: China export restrictions disrupted design starts beyond the six-week window; a major foundry customer’s challenges delayed expected IP returns; resource/roadmap decisions diluted focus (CEO detailed three factors) .
- EPS/FCF reset: FY25 non-GAAP EPS cut to $12.76–$12.80 and FCF to ~$950M due to lower IP revenue and interest impacts from cash utilization and new debt for Ansys .
Financial Results
Actuals (chronological order)
Year-over-Year (Q3 compare)
Q3 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs (Q3 2025)
Non-GAAP to GAAP reconciling items (Q3): Stock-based compensation $267.7M; amortization of acquired intangibles $74.9M; acquisition/divestiture items $120.0M; tax adjustments $(157.5)M .
Guidance Changes
Management attributes FY guide changes to IP weakness, interest impact from the $4.3B term loan, and Ansys integration/seasonality, while maintaining confidence in revenue growth and synergies .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Q3 was a transformational quarter… we closed the Ansys acquisition – expanding our portfolio, customer base and opportunity.” (CEO) .
- “Strength in Design Automation was offset by weakness in Design IP… taking a more conservative view of Q4, while guiding another consecutive year of profitable growth.” (CFO) .
- IP headwinds: export restrictions in China extended impact beyond six weeks; foundry customer delays; roadmap/resource allocation decisions now being pivoted toward higher-growth opportunities (CEO) .
- Efficiency plan: actions starting soon to reduce global headcount roughly 10% by end of FY26 to accelerate strategy and synergies (CEO/CFO) .
- Integration and seasonality: Ansys conformed to Synopsys fiscal calendar; strength historically in Nov–Dec will hit Synopsys Q1; buyer approval for Optical Solutions Group and PowerArtist still pending (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- IP outlook and durability: Management expects a transitional/muted IP year into FY26; pivot to subsystems and possible royalty components to better monetize customization; capacity scaling via AI/methodology changes .
- Margin bridge: Q4 margin decline driven primarily by IP revenue pressure despite higher-margin Ansys; long-term mid-40% operating margin target unchanged (CFO) .
- Debt and liquidity: Cash well above operating minimums; interest payments in 2025 and principal paydown to begin in 2026; term loans due 2027–2028; cash inflow expected upon OSG/PowerArtist divestiture completion (CFO) .
- Ansys growth drivers: confidence in synergies; 3DIC and physical AI (digital twin) create near-term opportunities; channel preserved and leveraged (CEO/CFO) .
- Customer concentration: Efforts to diversify exposure; Ansys expands regional/customer mix (e.g., Europe vs China) (CEO) .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results missed S&P Global consensus on both revenue ($1.767B*) and non-GAAP EPS ($3.745*), with actuals of $1.740B and $3.39, respectively .
- Estimate reset likely: FY25 EPS/FCF guidance reductions and IP caution point to downward revisions, while revenue raise and backlog support top-line resilience .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Short-term: Expect EPS and FCF estimate cuts following the FY25 reset; shares may remain sensitive to IP execution updates and China/foundry headlines .
- Medium-term: Revenue durability supported by DA strength, backlog, and hardware demand; Ansys adds simulation/analysis scale and cross-sell into silicon-to-systems .
- Watch catalysts: OSG/PowerArtist buyer approval timing, Q4 seasonality/Ansys contribution, and specifics on IP roadmap pivot and monetization (e.g., royalties/subsystems) .
- Margin trajectory: Near-term compression from IP; management reiterates mid-40% long-term margin ambition as integration efficiencies and headcount actions flow through FY26 .
- AI edge: Synopsys.ai and Agentic AI roadmap should sustain competitive differentiation and potential new monetization avenues as workflows evolve .
- Balance sheet: Elevated debt from Ansys financing raises interest burden short term; cash remains adequate, with expected divestiture proceeds to support deleveraging (CFO) .